Posts by Year

2024

Deciphering Cloud Customer Behavior

Understand how Markov chains can be used to model customer behavior in cloud services, enabling predictions of usage patterns and helping optimize service offerings.

Machine Learning and Forest Fires: The Case of Portugal

This article delves into the role of machine learning in managing forest fires in Portugal, offering a detailed analysis of early detection, risk assessment, and strategic response, with a focus on the challenges posed by eucalyptus forests.

If You Use KMeans All the Time, Read This

KMeans is widely used, but it’s not always the best clustering algorithm for your data. Explore alternative methods like Gaussian Mixture Models and other clustering techniques to improve your machine learning results.

Real-time Data Streaming using Python and Kafka

Learn how to implement real-time data streaming using Python and Apache Kafka. This guide covers key concepts, setup, and best practices for managing data streams in real-time processing pipelines.

Using Moving Averages to Analyze Behavior Beyond Financial Markets

Moving averages are a cornerstone of stock trading, renowned for their ability to illuminate price trends by filtering out short-term volatility. But the utility of moving averages extends far beyond the financial markets. When applied to the analysis of individual behavior, moving averages offer...

A Comprehensive Guide to Pre-Commit Tools in Python

Learn how to use pre-commit tools in Python to enforce code quality and consistency before committing changes. This guide covers the setup, configuration, and best practices for using Git hooks to streamline your workflow.

Understanding Drift in Machine Learning: Causes, Types, and Solutions

Machine learning models are trained with historical data, but once they are used in the real world, they may become outdated and lose their accuracy over time due to a phenomenon called drift. Drift is the change over time in the statistical properties of the data that was used to train a machine...

Sequential Detection of Switches in Models with Changing Structures

Sequential detection of structural changes in models is a critical aspect in various domains, enabling timely and informed decision-making. This involves identifying moments when the parameters or structure of a model change, often signaling significant events or shifts in the underlying data-gen...

Frequent Patterns Outlier Factor

Outlier detection is a critical task in machine learning, particularly within unsupervised learning, where data labels are absent. The goal is to identify items in a dataset that deviate significantly from the norm. This technique is essential across numerous domains, including fraud detection, s...

Detecting Outliers Using Principal Component Analysis (PCA)

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a robust technique used for dimensionality reduction while retaining critical information in datasets. Its sensitivity makes it particularly useful for detecting outliers in multivariate datasets. Detecting outliers can provide early warnings of abnormal cond...

Applying Einstein’s Principle of Simplicity Across Disciplines

Albert Einstein’s quote, “Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler,” encapsulates a fundamental principle in science and analytics. It emphasizes the importance of simplicity and clarity while cautioning against oversimplification that can lead to loss of essential detail ...

Testing and Evaluating Outlier Detectors Using Doping

Outlier detection presents significant challenges, particularly in evaluating the effectiveness of outlier detection algorithms. Traditional methods of evaluation, such as those used in predictive modeling, are often inapplicable due to the lack of labeled data. This article introduces a method k...

Copula, GARCH, and Other Financial Models

Financial modeling plays a crucial role in the analysis and management of financial risk. Among the various models, Copula and GARCH are widely used for understanding dependencies between financial variables and modeling time series data with volatility clustering, respectively. This article expl...

Disaggregating Energy Consumption: The NILM Algorithms

Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) is an advanced technique that disaggregates a building’s total energy consumption into the usage patterns of individual appliances, all without requiring hardware installation on each device. This approach not only offers a cost-effective and scalable solution...

Central Limit Theorems: A Comprehensive Overview

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is one of the cornerstone results in probability theory and statistics. It provides a foundational understanding of how the distribution of sums of random variables behaves. At its core, the CLT asserts that under certain conditions, the sum of a large number of ra...

Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring: A Comprehensive Guide

Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) is a technique for monitoring energy consumption in buildings without the need for hardware installation on individual appliances. This makes it a cost-effective and scalable solution for increasing energy efficiency and lowering energy consumption. This artic...

Streamlining Your Workflow with Pre-commit Hooks in Python Projects

In the world of software development, maintaining code quality and consistency is crucial. Git hooks, particularly pre-commit hooks, are a powerful tool that can automate and enforce these standards before code is committed to the repository. This article will guide you through the steps to set u...

Common Probability Distributions in Clinical Trials

In statistics, probability distributions are essential for determining the probabilities of various outcomes in an experiment. They provide the mathematical framework to describe how data behaves under different conditions and assumptions. This is particularly important in clinical trials, where ...

Machine Learning Monitoring: Moving Beyond Univariate Data Drift Detection

Machine learning (ML) model monitoring is a critical aspect of maintaining the performance and reliability of models in production environments. As organizations increasingly rely on ML models to drive decision-making and automate processes, ensuring these models remain accurate and effective ove...

Exploring Outliers in Data Analysis: Advanced Concepts and Techniques

Outliers are data points that significantly deviate from the rest of the observations in a dataset. They can arise from various sources such as measurement errors, data entry mistakes, or inherent variability in the data. While outliers can provide valuable insights, they can also distort statist...

Modeling Count Events with Poisson Distribution in R

In this article, we will explore how to model count events, such as activations of certain types of events, using the Poisson distribution in R. We will also discuss how to determine if an observed count belongs to the Poisson distribution.

How to Write a Research Paper

Writing a research paper involves several stages, from choosing a topic to revising and finalizing your work. Here’s a structured approach to guide you through the process:

Detect Multivariate Data Drift

In machine learning, ensuring the ongoing accuracy and reliability of models in production is paramount. One significant challenge faced by data scientists and engineers is data drift, where the statistical properties of the input data change over time, leading to potential degradation in model p...

Automating Feature Engineering

Feature engineering is a critical step in the machine learning pipeline, involving the creation, transformation, and selection of variables (features) that can enhance the predictive performance of models. This process requires deep domain knowledge and creativity to extract meaningful informatio...

From Data to Probability

In statistics, the P Value is a fundamental concept that plays a crucial role in hypothesis testing. It quantifies the probability of observing a test statistic at least as extreme as the one observed, assuming the null hypothesis is true. Essentially, the P Value helps us assess whether the obse...

Kullback-Leibler and Wasserstein Distances

In mathematics, the concept of “distance” extends beyond the everyday understanding of the term. Typically, when we think of distance, we envision Euclidean distance, which is the straight-line distance between two points in space. This form of distance is familiar and intuitive, often represente...

Survival Analysis in Management

Explore the role of survival analysis in management, focusing on time-to-event data and techniques like the Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox proportional hazards model for business decision-making.

Understanding t-SNE

In data analysis and machine learning, the challenge of making sense of large volumes of high-dimensional data is ever-present. Dimensionality reduction, a critical technique in data science, addresses this challenge by simplifying complex datasets into more manageable and interpretable forms wit...

Kernel Clustering in R

Clustering is one of the most fundamental techniques in data analysis and machine learning. It involves grouping a set of objects in such a way that objects in the same group (called a cluster) are more similar to each other than to those in other groups. This is widely used across various fields...

Ethical Considerations in AI-Powered Elderly Care

As AI revolutionizes elderly care, ethical concerns around privacy, autonomy, and consent come into focus. This article explores how to balance technological advancements with the dignity and personal preferences of elderly individuals.

Paths of Combinatorics and Probability

Dive into the intersection of combinatorics and probability, exploring how these fields work together to solve problems in mathematics, data science, and beyond.

Mastering Combinatorics with Python

A practical guide to mastering combinatorics with Python, featuring hands-on examples using the itertools library and insights into scientific computing and probability theory.

Distinguishing Ergodic Regimes from Processes

An in-depth look into ergodicity and its applications in statistical analysis, mathematical modeling, and computational physics, featuring real-world processes and Python simulations.

The Power of Dimensionality Reduction

A comprehensive guide to spectral clustering and its role in dimensionality reduction, enhancing data analysis, and uncovering patterns in machine learning.

Mysteries of Clustering

Discover the inner workings of clustering algorithms, from K-Means to Spectral Clustering, and how they unveil patterns in machine learning, bioinformatics, and data analysis.

Convergence of Topology and Data Science

Dive into Topological Data Analysis (TDA) and discover how its methods, such as persistent homology and the mapper algorithm, help uncover hidden insights in high-dimensional and complex datasets.

Understanding Customer Lifetime Value

Discover the importance of Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) in shaping business strategies, improving customer retention, and enhancing marketing efforts for sustainable growth.

2023

Coverage Probability: Explained

Understanding coverage probability in statistical estimation and prediction: its role in constructing confidence intervals and assessing their accuracy.

Data and Communication

Data and communication are intricately linked in modern business. This article explores how to balance data analysis with storytelling, ensuring clear and actionable insights.

The New Illiteracy That’s Crippling Our Decision-Making

Innumeracy is becoming the new illiteracy, with far-reaching implications for decision-making in various aspects of life. Discover how the inability to understand numbers affects our world and what can be done to address this growing issue.

The Fears Surrounding Artificial Intelligence

Delve into the fears and complexities of artificial intelligence and automation, addressing concerns like job displacement, data privacy, ethical decision-making, and the true capabilities and limitations of AI.

Binary Classification: Explained

Learn the core concepts of binary classification, explore common algorithms like Decision Trees and SVMs, and discover how to evaluate performance using precision, recall, and F1-score.

Ethics in Data Science

A deep dive into the ethical challenges of data science, covering privacy, bias, social impact, and the need for responsible AI decision-making.

The Life and Legacy of Paul Erdős

Delve into the fascinating life of Paul Erdős, a wandering mathematician whose love for numbers and collaboration reshaped the world of mathematics.

Demystifying Data Science

Discover how data science, a multidisciplinary field combining statistics, computer science, and domain expertise, can drive better business decisions and outcomes.

Walking the Mathematical Path

Dive into the fascinating world of pedestrian behavior through mathematical models like the Social Force Model. Learn how these models inform urban planning, crowd management, and traffic control for safer and more efficient public spaces.

2022

The Structure Behind Most Statistical Tests

Discover the universal structure behind statistical tests, highlighting the core comparison between observed and expected data that drives hypothesis testing and data analysis.

Machine Learning Monitoring: Moving Beyond Univariate Data Drift Detection

Degrees of Freedom (DF) are a fundamental concept in statistics, referring to the number of independent values that can vary in an analysis without breaking any constraints. Understanding DF is crucial for accurate statistical testing and data analysis. This concept extends beyond statistics, pla...

2021

A Guide to Regression Tasks: Choosing the Right Approach

Regression tasks are at the heart of machine learning. This guide explores methods like Linear Regression, Principal Component Regression, Gaussian Process Regression, and Support Vector Regression, with insights on when to use each.

RFM Segmentation: A Powerful Customer Segmentation Technique

RFM Segmentation (Recency, Frequency, Monetary Value) is a widely used method to segment customers based on their behavior. This article provides a deep dive into RFM, showing how to apply clustering techniques for effective customer segmentation.

The Math Behind Kernel Density Estimation

Explore the foundations, concepts, and mathematics behind Kernel Density Estimation (KDE), a powerful tool in non-parametric statistics for estimating probability density functions.

Understanding Polynomial Regression: Why It’s Still Linear Regression

Polynomial regression is a popular extension of linear regression that models nonlinear relationships between the response and explanatory variables. However, despite its name, polynomial regression remains a form of linear regression, as the response variable is still a linear combination of the...

Bayesian Data Science: The What, Why, and How

Bayesian data science offers a powerful framework for incorporating prior knowledge into statistical analysis, improving predictions, and informing decisions in a probabilistic manner.

2020